Beta release · first wave of the Syrian Barometer: Q4 2026 — feedback: [email protected]
MIRSAD — Center for Policy and Polling
English

Programs and units

Seven research units and an eighth for conferences. One governing rule: every unit publishes a dated periodic product — periodicity is what builds authority.

UnitWhat it doesPeriodic product
Policy and political studiesShort decision papers for policymakers that pass the “briefcase test”: readable in under an hour.Weekly brief
Elections and public opinionThe Syrian Barometer, voter registers and message design — under a published code of ethics.Quarterly Barometer
Economy and reconstructionA fixed cost-of-living basket, poverty lines, and investment priorities through the lens of data.Monthly index
Society and valuesA national values program with a ready toolkit, a ninety-day trial and triangulated measurement against a baseline.Quarterly report
Media and impact measurementPublic trust in news sources (quarterly, within the Barometer) and monitoring of public discourse — never targeting individuals or specific outlets.Semi-annual discourse study
Foresight and strategic securityScenarios, decision games and analysis under uncertainty, in the RAND tradition.Quarterly scenario paper
Publishing and reportsProducing the weekly brief (edited by the policy unit), the annual yearbook and the peer-reviewed journal.Yearbook and journal

Elections and public opinion unit — seven capabilities

  1. Voter registers and segment analysisDemographic modeling down to sub-district level.
  2. Periodic scientific pollsWith methodology and margin of error published with every wave.
  3. Message design and testingBefore launch, on controlled sub-samples.
  4. Field-staff trainingIn all fourteen governorates — a field network that cannot be bought.
  5. Voter-contact databases and turnout campaignsFor electoral bodies and public institutions, never for a competing side — we do not work for a candidate, a list or a party.
  6. Election-day operations roomReal-time monitoring of turnout and incidents.
  7. Live measurement and post-count reportAnalyzing and explaining the results with data.

The published code of ethics

Legitimate persuasion with data, never manipulation. We publicly commit to the AAPOR, ESOMAR and WAPOR codes and publish the full methodology with every poll.

The Cambridge Analytica case is on record: it harvested the data of some 87 million users without consent for psychological profiling. The lesson is that abuse begins when data is harvested without consent and used for psychological manipulation — so we refrain from both and disclose our tools.

What we doVoter analysis and modeling · message testing · election-day operations rooms · voter-contact databases · segment analysis.
What we never doHarvesting data without consent · psychological profiling of individuals · disinformation · targeting named individuals.

Conferences and forums

A conference is not academic decoration — it is the table where policymaker and researcher meet.

  • Annual
    National annual conference

    Brings together researchers at home and in the diaspora; the yearbook is discussed and the Barometer results are announced there.

  • Monthly
    Closed policy forum

    Under the Chatham House Rule: frank dialogue with officials present, nothing attributed to its speaker.

  • Fortnightly
    Specialized roundtables

    One topic and its experts: reconstruction, local administration, security, elections.

  • Quarterly
    Field-training workshops

    Preparing polling staff in the governorates.

  • Annual
    MIRSAD Prize for Syrian Research

    Anchors the brand and attracts talent.

The monthly closed forum matters more than the annual conference: the former builds access, the latter builds presence.

What will be published, and when — year one (from Q4 2026)

Q1The first hundred days: founding, daily monitoring, the first weekly brief, the first closed dialogue, the monthly index, the first national poll.
Q2The second quarterly Barometer, founding of the peer-reviewed journal, the Syrian talent database.
Q3Completion of the “Hundred-Day Guide”, ministry by ministry; the first annual yearbook.
Q4The first national conference, the first transparency report, the first service contracts.

The hundred-day tally: twelve briefs, a first national poll, a working monthly index and a standing elections unit — output you can see, not promises you hear.